The good news is that despite all the worry about earnings and the teeth gnashing about the recent spate of punk economic data, the S&P 500 is hitting fresh, new all-time highs again. The bad news is that, as has been the modus operandi of late, the moves to new highs have all displayed a distinct lack of momentum and as such, have been deemed unconvincing at best. And unfortunately, this doesn't bode well for those looking for stocks to embark on a new leg higher.
Last week's effort was effectively a case of "same 'ol, same 'ol." Once again, the S&P hit a couple new highs. And for those keeping score at home, it is important to note that the index actually finished at fresh new highs not once, not twice, but a total of three times last week. But alas, the venerable SPX only managed to exceed the previous record high by a total of 9.7 points - or less than 0.46%. Yippee.
As our furry friends in the bear camp are quick to point out, this is simply not good "pin action" as there is just no "oomph" behind the move. Enjoy the headlines touting the record highs, we're told, "Because this ain't gonna end well."
S&P 500 Index - Daily
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Thus, the key issue from a near-term technical perspective remains whether the major indices will be able to break free from the trading range that has been intact for months - or if the recent highs will set up yet another "breakout fake out" trade to the downside.
Do Bonds Hold the Key?
While we wait, investors should note that bond yields continue to attract a fair amount of attention. After the yield on the 10-year Treasury Note spiked from 1.85% to nearly ...