The "Agreekment" is Done, But...

The headlines this morning blare that an "Agreekment" has been reached between the Eurozone and Greece. After a marathon day-night-day negotiating session over the weekend, it appears that a "Grexit" was avoided in the wee hours this morning. And while one's initial reaction might be that it is time for the markets to celebrate, the details of the "deal" suggest that it might be best to curb that enthusiasm a bit.

You see, the "Agreekment" is not really a final deal in and of itself. No, there is merely an agreement to begin the negotiating process a third bailout for Greece. In reality, Alexis Tsipras must implement a list of economic reforms by Wednesday as a precondition to what is being called "a possible start to formal negotiations."

Oh, it is also worth noting that (a) the terms of the this deal are actually much tougher than the one the citizens of Greece voted to thumb their noses at last weekend, (b) the negotiations won't start until Greece actually passes the new austerity and reform measures, and (c) the deal has to be passed by the Greek parliament and various Eurozone member states. As such, anyone thinking that Greece is now "fixed" and that the latest drama is over may need to think again.

For example, Eurogroup head Dijsselbloem said he hoped that a formal mandate to begin bailout negotiations will be agreed to by the end of the week. Note that there is still some time pressure here as Greece still needs €7 billion in financing by July 20th and an additional €5 billion by mid-August to meet near-term debt obligations.

Then there is the issue of the official approvals of this "Agreekment"... And given the recent emotional public vote by the Greek citizens, this could easily become problematic. ...

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