Sneak Peek: The Daily Decision for 3/25/14
Below is a "sneak peek" at the Daily Decision service, our take on the current market environment, and how we are playing this market.
Today's Decision: Hold Long Positions
Strategy Update:
Our Market Environment Model is Positive this morning. Therefore, we will hold our long positions today.
As always, we will send a Trade Alert via email BEFORE we make a move.
For more information and complete details about the Daily Decision Service, head to the Daily Decision Resource Page
Market Outlook:
Whether the concerns are centered on China's banking system, the geopolitical situation in Ukraine/Russia, the state of the global economy, stock valuations, or the Fed's next move, the bottom line is the market outlook for the near-term remains cloudy at best. Although prices remain within spitting distance of all-time highs, the bulls are clearly struggling to maintain any sort of momentum. As such, those in the bear camp suggest that it is only a matter of time before prices succumb. Our market models remain positive at this point, but only by the slimmest of margins.
Looking at the charts... While yesterday's action was not pleasant - especially for anyone owning the high beta areas such as biotech - it really didn't do much to impact the state of the charts. As we've been saying, the current action is the very definition of a sideways, range-bound market. Thus, the key levels in this market continue to reside at 1840 and 1885 on the S&P 500.
S&P 500 - Last 6 Months
Have a great day!
David D. Moenning
Founder, StateoftheMarkets.com
President, Heritage Capital Management
Looking For Money Management Help?
If you are looking for someone to manage services like the Daily Decision for you, or you need help with money management in general, check out Heritage Capital Management's Active Risk Manager Service - or call Heritage for more information at (630) 250-4700.
ALL NEW: The "Next Generation" of the Daily Decision system is now available to clients of Heritage Capital. The upgraded system utilizes swing trading and mean reversion strategies during neutral market environments, multiple indices for long positions, incremental moves in and out of the market, multiple managers and multiple strategies - with the overall goal being reduced volatility, fewer and less impactful whipsaws, and a "smoother ride".
Unfortunately, the system will not be available in subscription form due to the complexity involved with the actual trading of the strategy.
To learn more about the "Next Generation" system, Read the Research Report
Current Positions:
Main Model: 34% ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (Equivalent Net Position: 100% S&P 500)
Hybrid Model: 67% ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (Equivalent Net Position: 200% S&P 500)
Aggressive Model: 100% ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 (Equivalent Net Position: 300% S&P 500)
Daily Decision Model Portfolios Explained
New to the Daily Decision?
Our current "New Member Rating" is: Buy
New Member Ratings Explained
Current Market Environment Model Reading:
Today's Risk Model Reading: Positive
Market Environment Model Explained
Daily Decision System Performance:
Below is a summary of the cumulative returns of the three Daily Decision strategies since we began issuing signals in 2009.
| The Daily Decision Service Live Performance Results From 1/1/2009 | ||||
Period |
Main Model |
Hybrid Model |
Aggressive Model |
S&P 500 Index |
| 2009 | +63.51% | +204.78% | +161.00% | +23.45% |
| 2010 | +20.58% | +33.43% | +61.20% | +12.78% |
| 2011 | -4.58% | -7.42% | -26.80% | -0.00% |
| 2012 | +9.81% | +8.14% | +16.47% | +13.41% |
| 2013 | +19.78% | +27.27% | +44.34% | +29.60% |
| 2014 | -0.89% | +0.72% | -2.79% | +0.49% |
| Cumulative Total Return: | +145.26% | +421.90% | +403.31% | +105.64% |
| Average Annual Return: (2009 - 2013) | +19.87% Per Year |
+38.96% Per Year |
+38.94% Per Year |
+15.19% Per Year |
Interactive Performance Details
Backtested Performance Information - Includes Returns for the Adaptive System Currently Being Employed
For more information and complete details about the Daily Decision Service, head to the Daily Decision Resource Page
Read Disclaimer for The Daily Decision Service
The analysis and information in this report and on our website is for informational purposes only. No part of the material presented in this report or on our websites is intended as an investment recommendation or investment advice. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed nor any Portfolio constitutes a solicitation to purchase or sell securities or any investment program. The opinions and forecasts expressed are those of the editors and may not actually come to pass. The opinions and viewpoints regarding the future of the markets should not be construed as recommendations of any specific security nor specific investment advice. Investors should always consult an investment professional before making any investment.
Recent free content from FrontRange Trading Co.
-
Is The Bull Argument Too Easy These Days?
— 8/31/20
-
What Do The Cycles Say About 2020?
— 1/21/20
-
Modeling 2020 Expectations (Just For Fun)
— 1/13/20
-
Tips From Real-World Wendy Rhoades
— 5/06/19
-
The Best Recession Ever!
— 4/29/19
